Is the Greening of America Sustainable?

October 29, 2008

2008 will mark another record year for green headlines, green products, and green speak in general.  The media is selling green, ironically much of it on virgin paper using nasty chemical inks; and corporate America has figured out that there is a green demographic that spans ages, genders and races and that may in fact not be reachable through traditional advertising channels.  But what does all the green speak mean?  What is it for, and what is it after?

It seems that much of the greening of America, at least to the average consumer, and as conveyed by mainstream media, is a movement orchestrated by an endless array of bamboo toothpicks, each one stabbing at a different issue and each issue with its own subjective level of importance.  Recycling, organics, fair-trade, efficiency, alternative energy, waste, pollution, each of these are important topics, but unfortunately few of players in the mass-media have taken any time to tie all of it together.

I wonder how many Americans really have taken some time to understand the concept of sustainability and have a broader view of the problems facing us as we awaken into the 21st century. I have never actually seen anyone stop for a clipboard-armed Green Peace volunteer running interference on the sidewalks of Manhattan. Climate change, global warming, air pollution, peak oil, clean water or water shortages, and war, when lumped together, all sound like biblical prophecies espoused by some dogmatic nut-of-the-month outside of St. Patrick’s Cathedral in Manhattan.  I think it’s fair to say that many of us feel that our way of life is fine, as long as we make incrementally better choices.  Green is fashionable, and so is Project Runway.

Prior to the financial crisis the media would have had a visitor from Mars believe that every American was committed to building a greener and more sustainable country. Hundreds if not thousands of magazine and newspaper covers have had something green on them. Editors often try way too hard to coin the next cute headline like: A Brighter Future Begins by Turning Off the Lights. I wonder how far past the surface our collective green temperature permeates? Is it just a fad that people want to be connected to like Internet start-ups, bell-bottoms, big hair or smoking? Green is sexy. Green is cool. Green sells.

How many Americans really take the time to consider that the planet has another two billion people in China and India, not to mention the rest of the developing world, who are on the cusp of beginning to live the way we do? Globalization is raising living standards around the world. How many people realize that as of yesterday we needed three to five planets just to sustain our current lifestyle?  That is without the rest of the world jumping on the consumption bandwagon. Have we really considered how replicable American consumption is when it means that we will compete for natural resources with a population three to six times larger than our own? Capitalism is great, as is democracy.  But do we really need all this stuff?  I was at a party in the Hamptons last summer, and actually overheard a conversation between two people comparing how many homes each of them had, the winner had five.

I know that there are a host of brilliant and dedicated people committed to finding sustainable solutions for our future. As the internet changed our social, financial and political economics in the last decade, the ideology of sustainability can also rewrite the economics and business models of our future. The next revolution will be the greening of the first industrial revolution, and it will likely be of equal or greater impact on our social history.

However, I am forced to wonder how much faster we can transform an inevitable shift if we had a deeper and broader understanding of what it really means to build a sustainable future. I wonder if baby boomers today can even imagine the idea that most of their grandchildren will be forced to share the planet with two billion more people than they had to.

Green-washing in the media is not a bad start. As Hunter Lovins likes to say, hypocrisy is the first step. Organizations often get hooked on real sustainable endeavors that begin with hot air. The positive consumer response and cost savings resulting from intelligent green strategies becomes a positive feedback loop that forces more investment.  But such efforts only take care of the means of production.  To truly build a sustainable planet we are going to need to focus on sustainable consumption.

For most Americans, however, I’m willing to bet that the current green movement is not sustainable. It’s not sustainable because in practice our collective level of consumptions is not sustainable, but also because at some point, as we always do, we are going to get tired of hearing the message, particularly if we don’t notice a direct impact or see a discernible change.

So what if you fill your house with more environmentally friendly products?  Sure, maybe they’ll harm less people in their manufacturing or they’ll degrade faster in the landfill, but is that really going to solve the problem? A bigger problem is the McMansion that gets filled with all that stuff that no one needs or uses. Compounding that is the long commute to the job that is required to afford to pay off the mortgage on the McMansion. Or consider the eco-friendly yuppie who decides to throw away everything that isn’t green just so he can replace them with green equivalents.

In short, I’m afraid that in our current form all of the green-speak will eventually begin to sound like a bad commercial that has aired too many times.  I’m afraid we will grow numb to the messaging and in turn lose the message. That said, I think American’s need to begin to look a little deeper than the greener choices in their holiday catalogues. While I’m sure the recession will temporarily help us learn to live on less and with less, I hope that our collective mind graduates from green to sustainability in short order.


PV Solar Power = Job Creation

October 22, 2008

A recent report by the European Photovoltaic Industry Association outlines by vertical, the number of jobs that can be created by the advancement of the photovoltaic industry.  Moreover, the largest segment of job creation will come from the installation process.  What is significant about that is that those jobs cannot be exported.  “Last mile” labor will be regional, within countries.  Development of solar energy solutions has potential to create a great number of American jobs.

PV offers important social benefits in terms of job creation. Significantly, much of the employment creation is at the point of installation (installers, retailers and service engineers), giving a boost to local economies. Based on information provided by the industry, it has been assumed that 10 jobs are created per MW during production and about 33 jobs per MW during the process of installation. Wholesaling of the systems and indirect supply (for example in the production process) each create 3-4 jobs per MW. Research adds another 1-2 jobs per MW. Over the coming decades, it can be assumed that these numbers will decrease as the use of automated machines will increase. This will be especially the case for jobs involved in the production process. 

Worldwide employment in PV-related jobs under Solar Generation Scenarios

Table 5.1: Worldwide employment in PV-related jobs under Solar Generation Scenarios

Source:
Solar Benefits
Solar Generation V – 2008, pp. 51-52, EPIA

Click to access EPIA_SG_V_ENGLISH_FULL_Sept2008.pdf


Accidents are the Mother of Invention

October 21, 2008

While this technology is a world away from being commercialized, it’s nice to know that folks are still tinkering.  I’m lost on the technology but excited by the prospect.  For a copy of the full presentation, click-here.

 Columbus (OH) – Researchers at Ohio State University have accidentally discovered a new solar cell material capable of absorbing all of the sun’s visible light energy. The material is comprised of a hybrid of plastics, molybdenum and titanium. The team discovered it not only fluoresces (as most solar cells do), but also phosphoresces. Electrons in a phosphorescent state remain at a place where they can be “siphoned off” as electricity over 7 million times longer than those generated in a fluorescent state. This combination of materials also utilizes the entire visible spectrum of light energy, translating into a theoretical potential of almost 100% efficiency. Commercial products are still years away, but this foundational work may well pave the way for a truly renewable form of clean, global energy.

Source:
New solar cell material achieves almost 100% efficiency, could solve world-wide energy problems
Rick C. Hodgin, TG Daily, October 20, 2008
http://www.tgdaily.com/html_tmp/content-view-39807-113.html


This Tide is Turning: Petro Dollars Moving West

October 16, 2008

This is the kind of story that invites me to me to urge politicians to get the U.S. in a position to compete to supply renewable energy technology to the rest of the world.

In an old blog post I opined on the idea of a unilateral trade agreement between developed nations, particularly nations dependant on Mid-East oil.   The post can be found here: NAFTA & OPEC Meet GREFTA.

The movement to rebuild our global carbon infrastructure is going to take a global effort.  We need more than just smart money, venture capitalists and entrepreneurs.  We need smart legislation and smart trade agreements.

From today’s DealBook at the New York Times Online:

While sovereign wealth funds are bailing out Western banks, oil-rich Gulf nations are looking to prop up renewable energy projects in Britain.

The Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company, a renewable energy initiative of the United Arab Emirates also known as Masdar, said on Thursday that it was forming a joint venture with Germany’s E.ON to invest in alternative energy projects.

As a first step, Masdar bought 40 percent of E.ON’s stake in London Array, the large offshore wind project in the Thames estuary that Royal Dutch Shell unexpectedly abandoned last May.

The $4.75 billion project quickly became known as London’s “disarray” after Shell pulled out, but Masdar’s investment could now ensure the project goes forward as planned.

Source:
Middle East Oil Invests in British Wind Project
Jad Mouawad, New York Times, Dealbook, October 16, 2008
http://greeninc.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/16/middle-east-oil-invests-in-british-wind-project/?dbk